Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market, accurately predicted President Donald Trump’s victory hours before major media networks made projections, showcasing the accuracy of market-driven insights. By midnight EST, Polymarket indicated a 97% chance of Trump winning, ahead of news outlets like CNN and the New York Times.
This early prediction highlights the difference between market-driven forecasts and traditional media approaches. Polymarket’s decentralized setup allows users to react to live updates immediately, contrasting with the extended analysis and narrative-driven coverage typical of traditional networks.
The platform’s $3.6 billion in election trades highlight its wide user base, including hedge funds and individual political observers. Polymarket’s early projection highlights the role of prediction markets as tools for real-time insights, offering an alternative to media coverage and reshaping how people access and interpret critical event outcomes.
