October 4, 2024 – Polymarket has introduced two prediction markets surrounding the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious creator of Bitcoin. One market speculates on “Who will the HBO documentary identify as Satoshi Nakamoto,” while the other focuses on “When will Satoshi Nakamoto’s identity be confirmed.”

In the “Who will the HBO documentary identify as Satoshi Nakamoto” market:

  • Len Sassaman, a renowned cryptographer, leads with a 58% probability.
  • Hal Finney, an early Bitcoin developer and recipient of the first-ever Bitcoin transaction from Satoshi Nakamoto, holds an 18% probability.
  • Other speculated figures have yet to gain significant traction.

As of now, $132,000 in funds have been staked in this prediction market.

The upcoming HBO documentary, titled “MoneyElectric: The Mystery of Bitcoin”, will air on October 8 and explore potential candidates for the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto. Directed by Cullen Hoback, the film interviews several individuals who claim to have been in close contact with Bitcoin’s mysterious creator. Some suggest Nakamoto may be more than one person, though the trailer for the documentary has yet to reveal substantial information about his or her true identity.

 

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