Polymarket Data Reveals Shift in Trump’s Election Odds
As of November 1, Polymarket data indicates that Donald Trump’s probability of winning the election has decreased to 62%, down from a high of 67%. Observers attribute the rise in odds to hedging positions among traders, who are betting on Kamala Harris’ victory due to concerns over Trump’s voting irregularities.
Arbitrage Opportunity Emerges Between Robinhood Securities and Polymarket
Researchers have identified a potential arbitrage opportunity for users with access to both Robinhood Securities and Polymarket. By betting on Trump’s victory on Robinhood and Harris on Polymarket, users can profit regardless of the outcome, as Harris’ winning odds are higher on Robinhood Securities than on Polymarket.
